5.3 Population


2026 Syllabus Objectives

By the end of this topic, you should be able to:

  • 5.3.1 Identify and explain the factors that affect population growth: birth rate, death rate, net migration, immigration and emigration.
  • 5.3.2 Explain how and why birth rates, death rates and net migration vary between different countries.
  • 5.3.3 Understand the concept of optimum population; explain the effects of increases and decreases in population size; and analyse changes in the age and gender distribution of a population (including interpreting a population pyramid).

5.3.1 Factors That Affect Population Growth

What is Population?

Population means the total number of people living in a particular country at a given time.

Population growth refers to how much the size of that population changes over time — it can grow, shrink, or stay the same.


Factor 1: Birth Rate

The birth rate is the number of live births per 1,000 people in a country per year.

  • If more babies are being born, the population tends to grow.
  • A higher birth rate = faster population growth.

Factor 2: Death Rate

The death rate is the number of deaths per 1,000 people in a country per year.

  • If fewer people are dying, the population grows.
  • A lower death rate = faster population growth.
  • The difference between the birth rate and death rate gives us natural population change.
    • If births > deaths → population grows (natural increase).
    • If deaths > births → population shrinks (natural decrease).

Factor 3: Immigration and Emigration

Immigration means people moving into a country from another country.

Emigration means people moving out of a country to live somewhere else.


Factor 4: Net Migration

Net migration is the difference between the number of people coming in (immigrants) and the number going out (emigrants).

Net migration = Immigration − Emigration

  • If more people arrive than leave → positive net migration → population increases.
  • If more people leave than arrive → negative net migration → population decreases.

Factor 5: Natural Disasters, Diseases, and Wars

Unexpected events can sharply reduce the population:

  • Natural disasters (floods, earthquakes) cause sudden deaths and force people to flee.
  • Diseases and epidemics raise the death rate quickly.
  • Wars cause deaths among soldiers and civilians and push people to emigrate.

Countries better equipped to handle these events maintain larger, more stable populations.

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